Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.973115 1.097980 1.234380 1.394705 1.578324 1.782436 2.027049
2024-12-22 0.772644 0.938645 1.135300 1.386552 1.700594 2.082182 2.584036
2024-12-29 0.670790 0.855624 1.086706 1.398997 1.813317 2.348715 3.100369
2025-01-05 0.586579 0.777874 1.027583 1.380738 1.872672 2.541504 3.533126
2025-01-12 0.525118 0.719895 0.983740 1.371851 1.935953 2.737965 3.986087
2025-01-19 0.459973 0.648507 0.912021 1.312859 1.917105 2.810049 4.259696
2025-01-26 0.429238 0.621742 0.899084 1.334944 2.015889 3.061282 4.831292
2025-02-02 0.403849 0.599704 0.889887 1.359970 2.119348 3.327761 5.457078
2025-02-09 0.378084 0.574317 0.872595 1.369446 2.197246 3.559255 6.050625
2025-02-16 0.354741 0.550333 0.854809 1.375400 2.268359 3.784769 6.659253
2025-02-23 0.338132 0.535370 0.849590 1.400687 2.373306 4.077252 7.423508
2025-03-02 0.311519 0.501914 0.811311 1.365983 2.369371 4.175533 7.834131
2025-03-09 0.298732 0.490742 0.809740 1.395844 2.485942 4.509273 8.754830
2025-03-16 0.278917 0.466152 0.783401 1.379228 2.515392 4.683396 9.380581
2025-03-23 0.265937 0.452219 0.774171 1.392403 2.601530 4.974863 10.288878
2025-03-30 0.249328 0.430587 0.749471 1.374164 2.624205 5.141573 10.949984
2025-04-06 0.235579 0.413037 0.730701 1.365331 2.664228 5.347256 11.725919
2025-04-13 0.216185 0.383829 0.688304 1.306647 2.596412 5.318231 11.955327
2025-04-20 0.208990 0.376693 0.686621 1.328616 2.698770 5.666461 13.130868
2025-04-27 0.202631 0.370645 0.686473 1.353512 2.809627 6.045771 14.440358
2025-05-04 0.194856 0.361322 0.679230 1.362937 2.887353 6.358380 15.628950
2025-05-11 0.187217 0.351733 0.670729 1.368860 2.957629 6.661360 16.839596
2025-05-18 0.182126 0.346812 0.671180 1.394015 3.074352 7.088918 18.456301